BFC Daugavpilsvs
Tukums
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BFC Daugavpils are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tukums are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and bFC Daugavpils hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Virsliga, favouring a draw with 11.8% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.0%
Model confidence
11.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00