BFC Daugavpilsvs
Riga
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 6/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Riga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
BFC Daugavpils are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Riga are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Riga hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the Virsliga, while Riga holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Riga
Probability
63.9%
Model confidence
63.9%
Riga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40