BFC DaugavpilsvsOgre United

BFC Daugavpils are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ogre United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ogre United hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Cup, while Ogre United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.