BFC DaugavpilsvsOgre United

BFC Daugavpils are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ogre United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 24.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.0% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.