BFC Daugavpilsvs
Grobiņa
COMPLETEDLatvia · Virsliga · 6/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFC Daugavpils · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
BFC Daugavpils are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Grobiņa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and BFC Daugavpils hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.4% in the Virsliga, while BFC Daugavpils holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFC Daugavpils
Probability
64.5%
Model confidence
16.4%
BFC Daugavpils has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60