BFAvs
Hegelmann II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 6/20/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
BFA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 31.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.9% in the 1 Lyga, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFA
Probability
69.9%
Model confidence
69.9%
BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00