Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
BFA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ekranas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 29.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the 1 Lyga, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFA
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60