Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Be1 NFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BFA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Be1 NFA are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Be1 NFA hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the 1 Lyga, while Be1 NFA holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Be1 NFA
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
12.7%
Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60