Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
BFA are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Babrungas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 80.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Cup, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20