Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Irao · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
16%
HighconfidenceBetlemi are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Irao are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and irao hold a 33.2-point power-rating edge (26.5 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely result in the Liga 3, favouring Irao with 15.8% confidence, a 38% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Irao
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
15.8%
Irao has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BetlemiLLDLL
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
IraoDLLWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BetlemiIrao
20.8Attack56.3
29.2Defence66.7
20.8Form56.3
26.5Power59.7
0.54xG2.41