GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/30/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bethlehem Steel · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bethlehem Steel are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Loudoun United are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Loudoun United hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bethlehem Steel holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bethlehem Steel

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Bethlehem Steel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bethlehem SteelLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Loudoun UnitedLLLWL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Bethlehem SteelLoudoun United
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
74.3Power80.3
1.96xG1.56
View match centre →