GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bethlehem Steel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (46.2 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Connecticut FC

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bethlehem SteelWWDLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Connecticut FCLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Bethlehem SteelConnecticut FC
36.4Attack63.5
56.1Defence41.3
42.4Form50.8
46.2Power52.9
1.38xG1.60
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