Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beroe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Beroe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sevlievo are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beroe hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Beroe holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beroe
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Beroe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40