GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - West · 8/14/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bergisch Gladbach · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Bergisch Gladbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Borussia Dortmund II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Bergisch Gladbach hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Regionalliga - West, while Bergisch Gladbach holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bergisch Gladbach

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

12.3%

Bergisch Gladbach has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bergisch GladbachWDWLW

GF 12 · GA 12 · avg 2.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Borussia Dortmund IIDDWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Bergisch GladbachBorussia Dortmund II
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
66.7Form33.3
68.0Power48.3
1.74xG1.14
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