GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 7/25/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Berazategui are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mercedes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Berazategui hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (56.3 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BerazateguiWLDWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MercedesWDWWL

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BerazateguiMercedes
34.8Attack33.3
76.8Defence79.7
52.2Form47.8
56.3Power54.2
0.52xG0.42
View match centre →