GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/27/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bentleigh Greens · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bentleigh Greens are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Dandenong Thunder are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bentleigh Greens hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (32.8 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Victoria NPL, while Bentleigh Greens holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bentleigh Greens

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Bentleigh Greens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bentleigh GreensWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Dandenong ThunderWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Bentleigh GreensDandenong Thunder
29.2Attack33.3
34.7Defence26.1
29.2Form21.7
32.8Power28.5
1.43xG1.20
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