Benficavs
Villarreal
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Benfica are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Villarreal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benfica
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60