GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Benfica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 20.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.7% in the UEFA Europa League, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica

Probability

72.7%

Model confidence

72.7%

Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BenficaWWLWL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Heart Of MidlothianLLWLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BenficaHeart Of Midlothian
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
58.3Form16.7
69.5Power20.0
2.48xG0.93
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