GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Benfica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC ST. Gallen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (69.5 v 32.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the UEFA Europa League, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BenficaWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC ST. GallenWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BenficaFC ST. Gallen
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
58.3Form50.0
69.5Power32.3
2.36xG0.98
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