GGOALVIO

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 8/9/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Benfica are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Academico Viseu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Primeira Liga, while Benfica holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Benfica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BenficaWWWLW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Academico ViseuDLDWD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BenficaAcademico Viseu
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
33.3Form16.7
45.3Power36.5
1.57xG1.17
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