Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Benfica B are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Torreense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Torreense hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 65.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60