Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Benfica B are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sintrense are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica B hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Benfica B holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benfica B
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
35.0%
Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60