GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Benfica B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Benfica B are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lusitano Évora 1911 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica B hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Benfica B holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Benfica B

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Benfica BDLLWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lusitano Évora 1911LWWWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Benfica BLusitano Évora 1911
23.8Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
47.6Form33.3
49.1Power45.3
1.24xG1.10
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