Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Benfica B are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Leixoes are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica B hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.8% in the Segunda Liga, while Benfica B holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benfica B
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
16.8%
Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00