Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benfica B · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Benfica B are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Casa Pia are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica B hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Benfica B holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benfica B
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Benfica B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40