Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Benfica B are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al-Nassr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Benfica B hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60