Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Benešov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Benešov are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Čáslav are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Benešov hold a 42.1-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Benešov holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Benešov
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Benešov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80