Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Beltinci are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Videm are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Beltinci hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (58.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Beltinci holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80