Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belotin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Belotin are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Havířov are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Belotin hold a 51.7-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Cup, while Belotin holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Belotin
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
9.6%
Belotin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 4.00/0.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40