GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/8/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lambton Jaffas are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and belmont Swansea hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely result in the Northern NSW NPL, favouring a draw with 7.3% confidence, a 80% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

21.1%

Model confidence

7.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Lambton JaffasLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Belmont SwanseaLambton Jaffas
71.4Attack57.1
34.9Defence47.6
55.6Form34.9
55.7Power46.2
2.56xG2.02
View match centre →