GGOALVIO

Australia · Northern NSW NPL · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Belmont Swansea are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Adamstown Rosebuds are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (55.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Northern NSW NPL, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

7.8%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belmont SwanseaWLLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adamstown RosebudsLDWLL

GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Belmont SwanseaAdamstown Rosebuds
71.4Attack49.2
34.9Defence31.7
55.6Form33.3
55.7Power40.1
3.38xG1.72
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