GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Belgrano Zarate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alumni Los Hornos are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (53.5 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belgrano ZarateDWDLW

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Alumni Los HornosWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Belgrano ZarateAlumni Los Hornos
25.0Attack38.5
80.6Defence56.4
47.2Form35.9
53.5Power44.6
0.72xG0.49
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