GGOALVIO

Australia · Capital Territory NPL · 6/3/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tuggeranong United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Belconnen United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Tuggeranong United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tuggeranong United hold a 31.9-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 60.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.3% in the Capital Territory NPL, while Tuggeranong United holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tuggeranong United

Probability

69.3%

Model confidence

69.3%

Tuggeranong United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Belconnen UnitedLDLLL

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Tuggeranong UnitedLWLWW

GF 15 · GA 14 · avg 3.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Belconnen UnitedTuggeranong United
44.4Attack82.5
20.4Defence31.6
16.7Form68.4
28.6Power60.5
1.87xG4.21
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