Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belasitsa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Belasitsa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Belasica are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Belasica hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (14.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Belasitsa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Belasitsa
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
10.5%
Belasitsa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20