GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Simitli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Belasica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Septemvri Simitli are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Simitli hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Septemvri Simitli holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Simitli

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Septemvri Simitli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BelasicaWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Septemvri SimitliWDWWL

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BelasicaSeptemvri Simitli
40.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
40.0Form50.0
40.7Power47.8
1.58xG1.69
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