GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Septemvri Simitli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Belasica are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Septemvri Simitli are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Septemvri Simitli hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Septemvri Simitli holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Septemvri Simitli

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

36.1%

Septemvri Simitli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BelasicaLWDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Septemvri SimitliWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BelasicaSeptemvri Simitli
40.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence50.0
40.0Form50.0
40.7Power47.8
1.58xG1.69
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