Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Belasica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Belasica are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Osogovo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Belasica hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Second League, while Belasica holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Belasica
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
14.5%
Belasica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60