Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beşiktaş · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Beşiktaş are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FCSB are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FCSB hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (75.0 v 90.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beşiktaş
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40