GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beşiktaş · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beşiktaş are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Midtjylland are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beşiktaş hold a 63.0-point power-rating edge (84.6 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Beşiktaş holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beşiktaş

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Beşiktaş has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

BeşiktaşLDLDW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
FC MidtjyllandWWWDW

GF 17 · GA 5 · avg 3.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BeşiktaşFC Midtjylland
41.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence50.0
100.0Form0.0
84.6Power21.5
1.68xG0.84
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