GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 6/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wuhan Three Towns are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 41.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.1% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

64.1%

Model confidence

64.1%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanWWLDW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Wuhan Three TownsDDDDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Beijing GuoanWuhan Three Towns
60.3Attack47.6
57.1Defence39.7
54.0Form31.7
58.1Power41.3
2.48xG1.07
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