GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/7/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sichuan Jiuniu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and beijing Guoan hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the Super League, favouring Beijing Guoan with 9.8% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

9.8%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanWDWDW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sichuan JiuniuWLDLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Beijing GuoanSichuan Jiuniu
60.3Attack45.5
57.1Defence37.9
54.0Form34.8
58.1Power41.0
2.55xG1.02
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