GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 7/17/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Shenyang Urban are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.2% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

59.2%

Model confidence

59.2%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanWWWWL

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shenyang UrbanWLLWW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Beijing GuoanShenyang Urban
60.3Attack44.4
57.1Defence47.6
54.0Form38.1
58.1Power44.0
2.13xG1.01
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