Beijing GuoanvsShandong Luneng

Beijing Guoan are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Shandong Luneng are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.