GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/23/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Henan Jianye are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

48.3%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanDWDWD

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Henan JianyeWWLDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
60.3Attack41.3
57.1Defence60.3
54.0Form46.0
58.1Power50.3
1.59xG0.96
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