GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 8/1/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanDWDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hangzhou GreentownWDWLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Beijing GuoanHangzhou Greentown
60.3Attack49.2
57.1Defence42.9
54.0Form46.0
58.1Power47.3
2.30xG1.13
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