GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/6/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Beijing Guoan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dalian Zhixing are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 7.9-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

60.1%

Model confidence

9.9%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Beijing GuoanDLWDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dalian ZhixingWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Beijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
60.3Attack50.8
57.1Defence42.9
54.0Form50.8
58.1Power50.2
2.28xG1.18
View match centre →