Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šternberk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Břeclav are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Šternberk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Šternberk hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the 4. liga - Divizie E, while Šternberk holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šternberk
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Šternberk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40