Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tłuchowia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bełchatów are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Tłuchowia are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (17.4 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tłuchowia holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tłuchowia
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
35.7%
Tłuchowia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20