Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rakow II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Bełchatów are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Rakow II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rakow II hold a 32.1-point power-rating edge (17.4 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rakow II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rakow II
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Rakow II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00