GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/14/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Be1 NFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Be1 NFA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hegelmann II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Be1 NFA hold a 26.1-point power-rating edge (58.1 v 32.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the 1 Lyga, while Be1 NFA holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Be1 NFA

Probability

77.8%

Model confidence

11.8%

Be1 NFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Be1 NFALLLWW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hegelmann IIWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Be1 NFAHegelmann II
53.7Attack35.1
57.4Defence24.6
59.3Form28.1
58.1Power32.1
2.83xG0.76
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